By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Hen Track of the Day
Monotonous Lark, Omaruru; at railroad crossing simply earlier than Paula’s Cave, Namibia. “Species Sound: Fixed… These birds sing day and evening for six weeks when the rains come. In flat arid space calling from track perch on high of small tree.” Heaps occurring!
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Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Capitol Seizure
“Arkansas man sentenced to 4.5 years in jail for function in US Capitol riot” [Anadolu Agency]. • That is the dude who put his toes up on Pelosi’s desk. I do suppose giving him a medal would have been a bridge too far. Possibly he can run for the Senate or one thing from jail?
Biden Administration
“Lawmakers are leaving Washington and not using a debt restrict deal as threat of default grows” [CNN]. “A debt restrict deal continues to be not but shut at hand for Home Republicans and the White Home as lawmakers depart the nation’s capital and the chance of a first-ever default grows. With no invoice to vote on, Home lawmakers are leaving for the Memorial Day weekend, although they are going to be given 24 hours’ discover to return if and when a deal is reached.”
2024
I suppose it’s time for the Countdown Clock!
* * *
“Elon Musk’s Twitter Occasion With Ron DeSantis Hits Technical Points” [Wall Street Journal]. “Twitter suffered technical issues at a high-profile second Wednesday, throughout an occasion the place proprietor Elon Musk deliberate to host Republican Ron DeSantis’s presidential marketing campaign announcement on the platform. The announcement was scheduled to happen utilizing Twitter Areas, a dwell audio function. However the occasion rapidly faltered, with many customers saying the expertise wasn’t working for them and that the audio was going out and in. After a number of minutes, with greater than 600,000 viewers tuned in in accordance with the platform, the occasion was transferred to the Twitter account of David Sacks, a expertise investor and affiliate of Musk’s… As soon as the web dialog acquired below manner, the dialogue with DeSantis lasted about an hour. The platform confirmed roughly 300,000 listeners tuning in close to the shut of the occasion.” • I don’t suppose that’s such a nasty quantity. Readers, did any of you attend?
“Florida Man runs for president” [Politico]. “Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis filed his paperwork to run for president right this moment and kicked off his marketing campaign tonight on Twitter’s audio platform, Twitter Areas (after some technical difficulties), alongside proprietor Elon Musk. It’s an indication his 2024 marketing campaign will likely be waged as a lot on-line as within the city halls of Iowa or on cable TV. However the odds are stacked towards him. No Florida politician has ever been elected president. A half-dozen have run within the final 50 years — basically the interval during which the state developed from political backwater to electoral powerhouse — however all have ended up in the identical place, useless within the water lengthy earlier than the nominating conference. Most by no means even made it previous New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation major. The curse of Florida Man — and up to now, each Florida presidential candidate has been male — lingers even though the state is a perfect proving floor for a White Home bid. Profitable statewide workplace requires campaigning in two time zones, 10 TV markets, and throughout 66,000 sq. miles. It’s house to greater than 22 million individuals — lots of them arrivals from different states, which supplies Florida politicians publicity to a variety of political customs and kinds. It’s a curious predicament for the nation’s third-largest state. Florida does have some White Home connections, after all. Presidents have retired there. They’ve owned trip houses there. Trump himself moved there halfway via his first time period as president, altering his official residence from Manhattan to Palm Seashore. However within the practically 180 years since Florida was admitted to the Union, it has neither produced a president nor had one born inside its borders. (No, Andrew Jackson’s pre-statehood stint doesn’t depend.) It’s the lone state among the many nation’s 10 most populous that has by no means despatched anybody to the White Home.
“US elections 2024: Who’s the Republican contender Ron DeSantis?” [Al Jazeera]. “DeSantis efficiently translated his right-wing rhetoric into coverage, analysts stated. ‘Everytime you’re completely different, everytime you break together with your get together, you’re on the market by yourself. And if there are not any drastic penalties, then it could possibly make you appear to be you’re forward of the curve,’ stated David Ramsey, who teaches constitutional regulation and political philosophy on the College of West Florida. He added that the governor helped rebuild the Republican Social gathering in Florida, a standard swing state that’s now more and more wanting like a conservative stronghold. ‘He’s put a whole lot of factors on the board for his get together,’ Ramsey informed Al Jazeera.”
“Trump-DeSantis rivalry heats up after Florida governor’s marketing campaign launch” [Axios]. “[T]he new Trump marketing campaign video advert options a picture of DeSantis seated subsequent to President Biden as commentary performs about ‘Washington-established politicians’ and says ‘Why would we ever accept Trump imposters?’ It additionally includes a clip of DeSantis from his 2018 advert studying aloud the Trump marketing campaign signal ‘Make America Nice Once more’ to a baby.” • Ouch! I do not forget that the late, nice New York Spy journal had one “Angela Crackstaff” on the masthead. Maybe she’s joined the Trump marketing campaign? It will be a welcome change. Or possibly not–
“Trump’s weird response to DeSantis’ announcement sparks confusion on-line” [FOX]. “Former President Donald Trump took to Reality Social on Wednesday to blast Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a weird publish that instantly sparked confusion. “‘Rob,’ My Purple Button is larger, higher, stronger, and is working (TRUTH!), yours doesn’t! (per my dialog with Kim Jung Un, of North Korea, quickly to change into my buddy!),’ Trump stated within the publish. The remark got here after DeSantis formally introduced his presidential marketing campaign on the Twitter ‘Areas’ platform.” • What.
“Trump’s Grip on the GOP Tightens because the Area Widens” [Bloomberg]. “Republican voters simply aren’t able to stop Donald Trump, even when the get together’s donors and political strategists would favor virtually some other candidate. That a lot was evident in mid-April in Manchester, New Hampshire, the place a small crowd of Trump die-hards stood throughout the road from a downtown resort the place Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was slated to talk. They waved oversize Trump 2024 flags, whereas some vehicles drove by and honked in solidarity. They professed their devotion to the previous president, whose indictment by the Manhattan district lawyer weeks earlier on fees of falsifying enterprise data solely served to extend his recognition. ‘Trump is a businessman, not a politician. He isn’t within the deep state, and that’s the reason they hate him a lot,’ stated Paula Johnson, an actual property agent in close by Nashua. ‘That indictment was the most important joke on the planet.’ Trump was nonetheless the one these voters wished within the White Home regardless of his mishandling of the pandemic and labeled paperwork, the Jan. 6 tried coup and that dinner at Mar-a-Lago with a widely known White supremacist. ‘He has created a motion and has proven the willingness to battle as soiled as vital for each piece in each battle,’ says Jennifer Horn, former chair of the New Hampshire Republican Social gathering from 2013 to 2017, who’s now registered as an unbiased and plans to vote for President Joe Biden. ‘The get together infrastructure has change into so depending on Trump for fundraising and activating the bottom that it can’t let go of him.’ To the amazement of liberals—and the consternation of quite a lot of institution Republicans—Trump stays the front-runner for the GOP nomination by a large margin, outpacing DeSantis, his closest rival, by round 36 share factors, in accordance with a RealClearPolitics common of major polls. Everybody else within the GOP discipline, together with his former vp, is polling within the single digits. Identical to in 2016, Trump is sucking up the political oxygen on the Republican facet. He’s already coined nicknames resembling “Ron DeSanctimonius” and outfoxed CNN throughout a city corridor earlier than a fawning viewers.”
“Trump legal professionals search assembly with Garland as Mar-a-Lago investigation reveals indicators of winding down” [Associated Press]. ” Legal professionals for Donald Trump on Tuesday requested for a gathering with Legal professional Normal Merrick Garland as a Justice Division investigation into the previous president’s dealing with of labeled paperwork reveals indicators of winding down. Within the letter, which Trump posted on his Reality Social platform, attorneys John Rowley and James Trusty asserted that Trump is ‘being handled unfairly’ and requested for a gathering to debate ‘the continuing injustice that’s being perpetrated by your Particular Counsel and his prosecutors.’… It isn’t unusual for protection legal professionals to hunt conferences with senior Justice Division officers to argue towards potential indictments of their purchasers, although it’s uncommon for such conferences to incorporate the lawyer common.”
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“Who’s operating for president in 2024? Meet the candidates — and certain candidates — vying on your vote” [CBS News]. • Biden, Trump, Haley, Ramaswamy, Elder, Hutchinson, Scott, DeSantis, Williamson, Kennedy. Not within the race but: Pence, Sununu, Youngkin, Burgum. Not operating: Hogan, Pompeo.
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, evidently persons are really studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I must try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, actually, a tough drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Social gathering is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Social gathering fails to manipulate, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the aptitude to manipulate. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not fully) these components comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * *
Collapse of the putative left, half a million and one:
With a couple of exceptions, socialist actions don’t appear to care a rattling about the truth that in the event that they collect in stuffy rooms with out face masks throughout a pandemic, they exclude lots of their comrades.
I am not going to level fingers, however examples abound. We have to study. 🧵1/13 pic.twitter.com/kBAQ2o5VnN
— Maarten Steenhagen (@msteenhagen) Could 24, 2023
Not on flimsy “social justice” grounds, however as a result of the stochastic eugenicism of Biden’s marketing campaign of mass an infection with out mitigation hits the working class — supposedly socialism’s base — particularly laborious. And DSA has the identical drawback.
Obama Legacy
A minimum of he didn’t hop a freight practice in the course of the rail strike that by no means was:
mister president (@BarackObama) i perceive you’re selling a documentary and supporting your individual exemplary crew, however should you actually do promotion for a corporation topic to a major labor motion? for a documentary concerning the worth of labor? https://t.co/qEXZqSLBgN
— javier grillo-marxuach (@OKBJGM) Could 24, 2023
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Pandemics Change Cities: Municipal Spending and Voter Extremis in Germany, 1918-1933” [Federal Reserve Bank of New York]. From Could-June 2020. “This paper paperwork a number of attention-grabbing and novel findings. First, areas which skilled a larger relative inhabitants decline as a result of unfold of influenza spend much less, per-capita, on their inhabitants within the following decade. This holds particularly for spending on facilities extra more likely to be consumed by the younger, for instance college funding.1 Second, influenza deaths of 1918 are correlated with a rise within the share of votes received by right-wing extremists, such because the Nationwide Socialist Employees Social gathering (the Nazi Social gathering), within the essential elections of 1932 and 1933. This correlation holds even when controlling for a metropolis’s spiritual make-up, metropolis wages, regional unemployment, city-level publicity to the “hyperinflation” of 1923, the share of right-wing votes earlier than the primary world battle, and different native traits related to extremist vote share. A one std. deviation improve within the proportion of the inhabitants killed by influenza was related to an round 0.8%-pt increased share of votes received by the nationwide socialist get together. The correlation between influenza mortality and vote share was unfavorable for left-leaning events additionally thought-about “extremist”, such because the communists.” • Hmm. And in 2020. Hmm.
“Ron Unz Confronts the Far Proper” [Richard Hanania’s Newsletter]. Unz: “I see no purpose why there’s some not possible barrier to beat between Mestizos and white Individuals. I imply have a look at this room… [In addition to the clearly swarthy Romero and Brahmin, at least a third of the room looks to be of either Hispanic or South Asian descent.] You doubt which you can have a multiracial nation? You all have constructed a multiracial motion primarily based on the thought of sustaining racial purity. Don’t verify your telephones, you may see one other alert of a Neo-Nazi Mexican mass shooter, there have been a couple of of these recently, and a right-wing Indian simply tried to kill Biden I consider. Bear in mind not that way back when there was a mass capturing, and everybody would both hope it was a right-wing white male or a Muslim, relying on their politics? Nicely, now we’ve the brown white supremacist, which right-wingers on Twitter inform me can’t presumably exist, although it’s like half their motion now.” • Attention-grabbing…
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. We are actually as much as 50/50 states (100%). That is actually nice! (It happens to me that there are makes use of to which this information could be put, past serving to individuals with “private threat assessments” acceptable to their state. For instance, pondering pessimistically, we’d preserve the checklist and see which states go darkish and when. We’d additionally tabulate the properties of every website and search for variations and commonalities, for instance using GIS (an train in Federalism). I don’t that CA stays somewhat sketchy; it feels somewhat odd that there’s no statewide website, however I’ve by no means been capable of finding one. Additionally, my working assumption was that every state would have one website. That’s turned out to not be true; see e.g. ID. Trivially, it means I have to punctuate this checklist correctly. Much less trivially, there could also be extra native websites that must be added. NY metropolis in NY state springs to thoughts, however I’m positive there are others. FL additionally springs to thoughts as a particular case, as a result of DeSantis will most likely be a Presidental candidate, and IIRC there was some foofra about their state dashboard. Thanks once more!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (9), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (5), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Covid Is Airborne
“Covid might do for air flow what cholera did for cleaner water programs” [Quartz]. “The metrics of air flow—move charges, 09uop, filtration—could also be difficult. However within the easiest of phrases, stated Joey Fox, a heating, air flow and air-con programs (HVAC) engineer primarily based in Canada, ‘the answer to all the pieces is making the indoors extra like the outside.’ Recent air disperses viruses and different particulate matter, making them much less dangerous to people. Three years into the pandemic, we all know that almost all covid transmission occurs indoors, significantly in poorly ventilated areas. Bettering indoor air will cut back the unfold of covid, with main implications for public well being in every single place.”
Vocabulary time:
That is an attention-grabbing concept.Does the time period ‘airborne’ have a stigma?We see descriptions of transmission resembling ‘born by droplets suspended in air’ which to us imply airborne, however to the individuals who use them don’t.Are you able to enhance on this concept?Tell us what you suppose. https://t.co/SbSJZsA8rw
— The Corsi-Rosenthal Basis (@CRBoxFoundation) Could 23, 2023
That is an attention-grabbing concept and really unhealthy (and I come from a running a blog custom that regarded le mot juste as essential tactically. The resistance to “Covid is Airborne” in, say Hospital An infection Management, comes as a result of they don’t settle for the paradigm and are participating in large resistance to it out {of professional} and sophistication curiosity. Their establishments should be nuked from orbit, not catered to. Be aware Curran’s bio: IPC (An infection prevention and management). The place the heck have been these individuals within the notorious second the place Mike Ryan acquired Tedros to retract and erase the phrase “airborne”? Nowhere, that’s the place, and really blissful to be so. Be aware additionally the reversal of valance: Typically, it’s good to share, not unhealthy. So Curran’s proposal requires one other layer of clarification — no no, this sharing is unhealthy — and weakens the urgency.
“Lowering aerosol transmission of SARS‐CoV‐2 in hospital elevators” [Indoor Air] From 2020 (!). “We examine aerosol droplet persistence contained in the confined house of hospital elevators and suggest particular measures to cut back the related threat of SARS‐CoV‐2 transmission…. We discovered that it sometimes takes 12‐18 minutes earlier than the variety of aerosol particles decreased 100‐fold throughout regular operation of each medium‐ and enormous‐sized elevator cabins. … A rise of the elevator’s mechanical air flow capability can be beneficial. Present requirements for the air change price by mechanical air flow in hospital elevators might differ between 6 and 20 air modifications per hour. If we assume that aerosol particles will likely be repeatedly blended with provide air, with out making an allowance for particle deposition, re‐suspension, and stagnant flows, an air change price of 10 occasions per hour implies a 100‐fold discount in aerosol particles in about 28 minutes. From the experiments, we discover a 100‐fold discount in 24‐half-hour (cf. ACH = 10) with closed doorways, 12‐18 minutes throughout operation, and three‐5 minutes with open doorways (Determine 1). A exceptional discovering was that the air flow inside all studied elevators in idle place routinely shuts off after 1‐2 minutes, which after all can simply be extended by reprogramming the motion management software program. In most hospital elevators, the ventilator is current within the ceiling and exhausts air from the cabin towards the elevator shaft. A potential measure is reversing the move route of the ventilator, herewith making a unidirectional downflow of recent (eg, HEPA filtered) air from the ceiling in the direction of the ground of the elevator cabin, a measure that’s commonplace in most working rooms to create and preserve an airborne microbial free atmosphere.” • I ponder if any of those measures have been taken?
Vaccines
“Lengthy COVID threat and pre-COVID vaccination in an EHR-based cohort examine from the RECOVER program” [Nature]. “Our 4 analyses yielded constant outcomes. We see protecting associations of vaccination with lengthy COVID prognosis in each logistic and time-to-event fashions, and in each clinic-based and model-based outcomes. Whereas these findings are just like these of different giant observational studies16,17,18,19, earlier sources have solely seemed for proof of COVID-associated signs as proof of lengthy COVID. A serious discovering of our evaluation is that the protecting affiliation stays constant in outcomes requiring a scientific prognosis, and amongst those that contracted COVID-19 in a later interval that features Omicron infections.”
Maskstravaganza
Individuals can change:
Discovered right this moment that 2 individuals who gave me shit & made enjoyable of me prior to now for masking now put on KN95s/n95s. I requested “Why?” as a result of they have been so die laborious anti masks. One stated it’s as a result of they acquired covid and it was “really actually unhealthy” and so they have been “scared”. Nicely, issues change.
— ✨ (@bumblebuzz6) Could 25, 2023
If one should admit being “scared” — as opposed having a totally rational apprehension — that takes some braveness, in right this moment’s environment.
The masks you may smile with:
NEW N95 RESPIRATOR MASK WITH ANTI-FOG CLEAR VISION WINDOW – STEALTH CLARITY
Hey all people, we’ve simply added this to our merchandise. TGA accepted. Now in use by WA Well being. Comfy. Glorious for individuals whose mouth must be seen.
Purchase it right here👇https://t.co/9ELG0jldns pic.twitter.com/tcAwJP9kzV
— CO2 Radical (@CO2RadicalAus) Could 24, 2023
Possibly this masks works to convey empathy and for lip studying, I don’t know. (For myself, I discover the clear plastic somewhat creepy). If it does, I’m positive we’ll discover the anti-maskers lining up to ensure each hospital makes use of them!
If sneaker artwork, why not masks artwork (as I prompt right here):
The Stan Smith, the best-selling sneaker from Adidas. (You would make masks collectible, too! Signed and numbered….)
An extended thread of fit-testing:
THREAD: 19 Ideas for a DIY masks match check to cut back your threat of #COVID19.
H/t @amandalhu & @__philipn__
What did I miss? pic.twitter.com/Pp1bM8zMur
— Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA (@michael_hoerger) December 17, 2022
(After all, if we had commonplace sizes, match testing can be quite a bit simpler.) A further tip:
I stroll through the material softener aisle as a verify.
— PelicanNurse🪬✌️😷✌️😷☮️🌈💛💙❄️🌊vegan/she/her (@pelicannurse) Could 24, 2023
Readers, what do you suppose?
“One thing Terrible”
“SARS-CoV-2, lengthy COVID, prion illness and neurodegeneration” [Frontiers of Neuroscience]. “It has been simply over ~30 months since SARS-CoV-2 viral an infection and COVID-19 illness have been first described…. Over this comparatively temporary time period about 40–60% of all ‘recovered’ COVID-19 sufferers have skilled some sort of ill-defined, wide-ranging and extremely variable neurological complication and exhibit the symptomology of ‘lengthy COVID.’ Simply as is the case for different incompletely characterised neurotrophic viral infections there are sudden, unpredicted and typically alarming neurological and different sequelae to SARS-CoV-2-based viral an infection…. These embrace…. the popularity of self-associating prion-like viral domains within the SARS-CoV-2 ‘S1′ spike protein driving amyloidogenesis and neurotoxic mixture formation….. As in international pandemic infections of the previous it’s our opinion that we must always anticipate extra sudden associations of mind and CNS disease-linked mechanisms and pathways between SARS-CoV-2-mediated viral an infection and different classes of age-related, immune-evasive pro-inflammatory types of neurodegeneration. Importantly, the SARS-CoV-2 ‘S1′ spike proteins comprise each self-associating “prion-like” areas, amyloid peptide-binding and different domains that seem to play roles in pathological “seeding,” amyloidogenesis and/or spreading that helps the formation of pathogenic lesions within the mind and CNS which contribute to pro-inflammatory neurodegeneration, neural cell atrophy and/or neuronal cell demise.”
Elite Maleficence
“Covid silence and the way the media works” [Nate Bear, ¡Do Not Panic!]. “If I hadn’t spent the final 15 years working in media and public relations, I too would interpret the media silence round covid and new covid analysis/science as an indication that there’s nothing to fret about. However I’ve. So there’s some issues it’s good to know. The very first thing to know is that the quantity of protection typically mass media about a difficulty isn’t an goal indication of its significance. Possibly I’m telling you one thing you already know as a result of everyone seems to be pretty media savvy as of late, but it surely wants saying. Simply since you’re not seeing covid analysis within the headlines, doesn’t imply covid has change into a non-story in relation to its potential impacts in your well being, your future, our societies or economies. However don’t get me flawed. I’m not saying that there’s some sort of conspiracy to actively disguise covid tales or different massive tales. It’s simply the way in which the mass media works Which is like this: A press launch will get written for a consumer, it will get despatched out to an enormous checklist of journalists, the PR agent then telephones across the journalists in no matter sector they’re working in to attempt to get them to take a look at the story, providing interviews with the important thing gamers. Most tales you see within the headlines are the results of a PR company. I might say >95% of all tales you learn begin as a press launch. … And the larger the PR company, the extra seemingly you’re to get a journalist to chunk in your story. And it is a main drawback. As a result of the larger the company = the costlier the company. So the most important, richest purchasers rent the most important, richest companies with essentially the most model recognition and media connections, and these companies are responded to most favourably by editors and reporters. And naturally, the larger the company, the larger the finances it’s important to entertain journalists, exit for lunches/dinners, even organise issues like PR brokers vs journalist soccer tournaments (sure this occurs). Which permits the fostering of human connections that imply the journalist will reply favourably to your subsequent press launch/name pitching a consumer story. Along with this, many PR company bosses will likely be members of the identical personal members golf equipment because the media bosses, with a whole lot of casual “work” executed throughout these evenings.” • Bourdieu would love this.
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Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” could be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. Numerous exceptionally nasty sequelae, most probably deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson).
Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information from Could 22:
Lambert right here: Except the US is totally, er, distinctive, we must be seeing a rise right here quickly. UPDATE Nonetheless on the excessive plateau. Are we’re the purpose within the international pandemic the place nationwide experiences actually diverge?
For now, I’m going to make use of this nationwide wastewater information as the most effective proxy for case information (ignoring the scientific case information portion of this chart, which for my part “goes unhealthy” after March 2022, for causes as but unexplained). A minimum of we will spot tendencies, and evaluate present ranges to equal previous ranges.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, Could 13, 2023:
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of constructive check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform. Appears just like the Walgreens variants web page isn’t updating.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, from Could 20:
NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not all the pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, a minimum of for its time interval, that Covid isn’t seasonal, although CDC is attempting to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, Could 22:
-1.1%. Frequency all the way down to as soon as per week? UPDATE Apparently so!
Deaths
Demise price (Our World in Knowledge), from Could 22:
Lambert right here: One other fall to zero, virtually actually an information artifact. Thanks, Johns Hopkins of the $9.32 endowment, for abandoning this information feed and passing duty on to WHO.
Complete: 1,164,718 – 1,164,564 = 154 (154 * 365 = 56,210 deaths per 12 months, right this moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would really like, although they’ll discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could should determine that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission achieved” for this specific tranche of demise and illness).
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED Extra deaths (The Economist), printed Could 21:
Lambert right here: Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran perpetually with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually it, so I acquired rid it. )
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of Individuals submitting for unemployment advantages rose to 229 thousand within the week ending Could twentieth, barely up from an over two-month low of 225 thousand the week earlier than however nicely beneath market expectations of 245 thousand. The most recent information prompt that the labor market in the US stays comparatively strong and constrained, which might probably end in upward stress on wages and current a possibility for the Federal Reserve to think about extra rate of interest hikes as a part of its measures to handle inflation.” • The beatings will proceed…
* * *
Banking: “Banking Disaster Is Over, High Executives Say” [Wall Street Journal]. “‘I feel as a systemic threat, it’s over,’ UBS Chairman Colm Kelleher stated at The Wall Avenue Journal CEO Council Summit in London. ‘What’s not been solved but is what’s the funding mannequin that may work going ahead.’ Barclays Chief Govt Officer C.S. Venkatakrishnan added that the acute disaster has handed however that many banks will likely be pressured to alter their enterprise fashions—together with presumably by curbing lending. ‘I feel the section of preliminary discovery is over and I feel there’s going to be somewhat little bit of a longer-term discovery and adjustment,’ he stated.” • Banks don’t have a funding mannequin? Actually?
Tech: “How U.S. adults on Twitter use the location within the Elon Musk period” [Pew Research Center].
* * *
At this time’s Concern & Greed Index: 62 Greed (earlier shut: 60 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 67 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Could 25 at 1:42 PM ET.
The 420
“State to fund scientific trials on “complete mushroom” psilocybin analysis” [Axios Phoenix]. “Arizona will quickly award $5 million in grants for researchers to conduct scientific research on hallucinogenic psilocybin mushrooms. The just lately accepted finances for fiscal 12 months 2024 features a aggressive grant program overseen by the Arizona Division of Well being Providers (ADHS). Grant recipients will conduct scientific trials to review the results of “complete mushroom psilocybin” on post-traumatic stress dysfunction, lengthy COVID signs, despair, anxiousness, persistent ache and different maladies. Trials should prioritize veterans, first responders, frontline well being care employees and folks from underserved communities. An rising physique of analysis signifies that psilocybin is an efficient remedy for quite a lot of medical issues.” • On the one hand, I feel thiis is nice. On the opposite, Soma for the traumatized means it’s OK for the trauma to proceed.
Zeitgeist Watch
Not the ’80’s, the mid-’70s:
What occurred within the 1980’s in order that
everybody, in every single place,
of all ages began getting fats? pic.twitter.com/H7ex9hgpyO
— Robert Lufkin MD (@robertlufkinmd) Could 22, 2023
One more impact of the neoliberal flip?
Class Warfare
Misconstruing the Bearded One (1). Click on “Present Extra”:
i went to dozens of lesbian events and occasions whereas they have been nonetheless a factor.
what occurred:
consuming beertaking shotsdancingk-y jelly wrestling dramatoplessness and nudityplaying playing cards/poolhooking up
what by no means occurred:
all ages drag reveals individuals asking “what are…
— Heidi (@HeidiBriones) Could 24, 2023
No matter Marx was about, it wasn’t id politics.
Misconstruing the Bearded One (2)
Regardless of the Bolsheviks have been about, they have been Marxists. Putin’s thesis (given on the at all times attention-grabbing Valdai Dialogue Membership) is both vacuous (“Revolutions result in main social modifications”) or flawed (like he’s been studying an excessive amount of James Lindsay on “cultural Marxism” — the bucket Lindsay invented to throw id politics in — which isn’t a factor, or quite is a factor solely within the minds of conservative fever swamp dwellers, although I suppose you can barely make a case for the Frankfurt College). In any case, it’s amusing to see Briones and Putin find yourself kind of in the identical place with respect to id politics.
Information of the Wired
A genuinely scary film (for my part, too strongly-premised as science fiction, therefore real looking, to be horror):
ALIEN was launched 44 years in the past right this moment. One of many definitive science fiction/horror motion pictures, its affect continues to be seen to this present day. The behind-the-scenes story of how the movie was made is an enchanting one…
A THREAD
1/38 pic.twitter.com/nZT8xWVK6T
— All The Proper Films (@ATRightMovies) Could 25, 2023
I do know that is from one other film within the Alien franchise, but it surely applies in so, so many instances:
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